Storm Prediction Center Fire Weather Outlook - thorntonweather.com

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Updated: Mon, 30-Mar-2020 4:35am MDT

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Day 1 fire weather outlook and map Day 2 fire weather outlook and map
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS... ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough is forecast to move from the southern Rockies into the southern Plains today. At the surface, weak low pressure initially over eastern New Mexico is forecast to move southeastward into north Texas by tonight. Dry conditions and increasing westerly winds aloft associated with the upper trough will result in a critical fire-weather threat across portions of the southern High Plains into West Texas. ...New Mexico into West Texas... An increase in west-northwesterly low-level flow in the immediate wake of the upper-level trough coincident with diurnal heating will lead to substantial boundary-layer mixing across the region. Downslope effects will aid in warming, drying, and momentum transport, leading to sustained afternoon surface winds of 20-30 mph concurrent with RH values of 8-15%. These conditions will result in a critical fire-weather threat across southeastern New Mexico and adjacent portions of West Texas. ..Jirak.. 03/30/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0202 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough is forecast to move across the Southeast on Tuesday. In response at the surface, a low-pressure system will track eastward near the Gulf Coast during the day and eventually intensify when it moves into the Atlantic on Tuesday night. ...Florida Peninsula... Increasing westerly low-level winds in response to the approaching trough may elevate fire-weather concerns over portions of the eastern Florida peninsula on Tuesday. Relatively deep vertical mixing in the boundary layer may yield RH values below 40% with sustained westerly surface winds around 15 mph. Despite a chance for light rain late Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning associated with a cold-frontal passage, the dry fuels across the region support an elevated fire-weather threat. ..Jirak.. 03/30/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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