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899 FXUS65 KBOU 302055 AFDBOU Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO 255 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Critical fire weather conditions will be present in the high country today due to warm, dry and windy conditions. - A couple strong storms possible across far northeastern Colorado late this afternoon/evening. - Mainly dry Wednesday through Friday with elevated to critical fire conditions across much of the area. && .DISCUSSION /Through Tuesday/... Issued at 248 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2026 It is sunny, dry, and breezy across much of Colorado this afternoon. A shortwave currently sitting over Utah will continue to track northeast into northern Colorado and Wyoming, and flow aloft is now SSW. At the surface, strong southeasterly flow is advecting dewpoints in the low 40s into north central Colorado as far west as the I-25 corridor. Current satellite imagery shows cumulus cloud coverage already increasing over the foothills. With DCAPE values in the 1000-1500 J/kg range, virga showers are still on track to develop this afternoon. Wind gusts up to 50-55 mph will be possible with the outflows of the strongest dry microbursts. High- res model guidance initially favors the northern I-25 corridor for the development of high-based showers between 4pm and 6pm. The far northeast plains of Colorado will have a better chance to see a strong thunderstorm as high-based showers move into an environment with higher precipitable water (PW ~1.00") and MLCAPE in the early evening. Another shortwave will graze northern Colorado tomorrow afternoon bringing a chance (20%-30%) for a few high based showers over our northeast CWA, although the moisture content of the airmass in place will be much lower than today`s (PWs