National Weather Service Forecast Discussion

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284
FXUS65 KBOU 150553
AFDBOU

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1153 PM MDT Tue Apr 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warmer and drier Wednesday.

- Locally critical fire weather conditions over the plains
  Thursday afternoon.

- Next system moves in Friday with much colder temperatures and
  snow for most locations.

- Hard freeze likely Friday night and into Saturday morning with
  lows in the upper teens to mid 20s.

&&

.DISCUSSION /Through Tuesday/...
Issued at 1145 PM MDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Satellite and RAP analysis products show today`s shortwave
continuing to push eastward, with only a few lingering showers
across the plains left on radar.

Wednesday should be warmer and drier across the forecast area as
weak zonal flow develops behind the departing trough. Mid-level
temperatures should warm several degC and forecast highs return to
the 60s across most of the plains. A little bit of moisture is
expected to linger across the high country leading to a bit more
cloud cover there, with mostly sunny skies across the plains.

Thursday will likely be the warmest day of the work week this
week, with southwesterly flow aloft increasing ahead of our next
(stronger) trough axis. Temperatures are expected to warm up into
the mid to upper 70s across most of the plains... and combined
with low relative humidity values... another day of widespread
elevated to critical fire weather conditions will be possible. See
the Fire Wx section below for additional details.

The focus of the forecast period continues to be Thursday night
through Friday night, as a strong trough axis swings across the
region. Tonight`s guidance hasn`t changed significantly with the
synoptic scale details of this event, with the trough axis
quickly pushing across the state during the day Friday. A rather
strong cold front looks like it will push into the plains late
Thursday night or sometime Friday morning, with 700mb temperatures
dropping to as cold as -8 to -11C by Friday afternoon. While the
trough is rather quick to move across the region, there would
still be a narrow period (

NWS BOU Office Area Forecast Discussion