National Weather Service Forecast Discussion

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221
FXUS65 KBOU 100644
AFDBOU

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1244 AM MDT Fri Jul 10 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widely scattered gusty showers and a couple thunderstorms
  possible this afternoon and evening.

- Prolonged period of very to hot temperatures arrive Saturday,
  lasting through most of next week.

- Hints of monsoon moisture reaching the high country by late next
  week?

&&

.DISCUSSION /Through Thursday/...
Issued at 1201 AM MDT Fri Jul 10 2026

We`ll end the week with one last chance of precipitation across
the Front Range and plains, before a strong ridge develops and we
enter an extended period of well above normal temperatures and dry
conditions across the forecast area.

Water vapor satellite shows a little bit of moisture still
embedded in the weak west/northwesterly flow aloft, with the
center of a 500mb ridge currently noted near the southwestern
California coast. Forecast precipitable water is expected to hover
around 0.35-0.45" across the high country, with PW values closer
to 0.7-0.8" across the I-25 corridor this afternoon. Forecast
soundings do show at least some modest instability across the
plains, though a weak cap is evident in most models. Still, most
CAMs manage to develop a few showers or storms across the Front
Range, which eventually drift into the urban corridor and plains
by the mid/late afternoon hours. Gusty winds will be possible with
any convection, though the chances of a meaningful (wetting)
rainfall look rather low (

NWS BOU Office Area Forecast Discussion