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658 FXUS65 KBOU 051929 AFDBOU Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO 1229 PM MST Thu Feb 5 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Well above normal temperatures today through Monday. - Elevated fire weather conditions expected on Saturday and Monday due to mild, dry, and breezy conditions. - Pattern change next week will lead multiple chances of precipitation. Best chance for snow will be Wednesday into Thursday in the mountains. && .DISCUSSION /Through Thursday/... Issued at 1224 PM MST Thu Feb 5 2026 Above normal temperatures and dry conditions will continue through the end of the week. An upper level ridge will sit over much of the area through Sunday. The pressure gradient will tighten on Saturday, leading to breezy winds on the mountains and in the northern plains along the Wyoming and Nebraska borders. Gusts Saturday morning could reach around 55 to 60mph in the mountains. Winds in the north and northeastern Colorado Plains will increase into the afternoon, with sustained winds around 20 to 25mph. RHs will drop into the mid teens to around 20% in the mid afternoon for the plains as well, leading to elevated fire weather concerns for Saturday afternoon in NE Colorado. Winds won`t be as strong on Monday, but conditions will be drier, so we`ll have to monitor the potential for fire weather concerns for Monday afternoon as well. The most interesting (and uncertain) part of the forecast is still the snow potential next week. We have high confidence in snow impacting the mountains in the middle part of next week and low confidence in snow impacting the plains. Uncertainty remains in the timing of the onset of the event and snow total amounts. Models start to bring snow in the mountains anywhere from early Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday morning. Once the snow starts, it is expected to continue on and off through Wednesday and into Thursday for the mountains. Right now, the Front and Park ranges are sitting at a medium chance (40 to 70%) of at least 4 inches of snow by late Wednesday. The plains are currently at a low chance (