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414 FXUS65 KBOU 140525 AFDBOU Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO 1025 PM MST Thu Nov 13 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry conditions and above normal temperatures will remain in place through most of the upcoming weekend. - The next system will bring a chance of precipitation to much of the forecast area Sunday night into Monday, with a few inches of snow and generally minor travel impacts for the high country. - Cooler and unsettled weather at times next week. && .DISCUSSION /Through Thursday/... Issued at 143 PM MST Thu Nov 13 2025 Another warm and dry day is on tap for Friday, and for the most part the upcoming weekend under a ridge of high pressure. Some high level enhanced wave clouds along the Front Range could keep temperatures from absolute maximums Friday, but it will still be well above normal with highs pushing into the lower to mid 70s over most of the plains. We have shaved a couple degrees from the forecast temps in the northern I-25 Corridor where weak inversions could hold due to the high clouds. On Saturday, a weak backdoor cool front has reasonable potential to drop high temperatures a few degrees, but upper 60s would still be well above normal for this time of year. Sunday still looks mild as well since the ejecting upper level low from off the California Coast is almost certainly to arrive later in the day to Sunday night. This delay was the big change in yesterday`s forecast - which still seems on target. Thus, we won`t have much chance of precipitation in the forecast til late Sunday afternoon but mainly Sunday night and Monday morning when the weakening upper level trough finally ejects northeast across the Central Rockies. Ensembles have come in relatively good agreement with this feature, but precipitation chances will depend on exactly how far south the best lift occurs. We`ll likely be on the southern edge of the better lift/moisture, but enough to bring a few inches of snow to the mountains and some minor travel impacts. The plains will likely see scattered rain showers, with the highest probability north of I-70. Temperatures will be considerably cooler with the passage of the trough, so Monday`s highs will settle back toward normal (lower to mid 50s on the plains and I-25 Corridor). Similar cool readings will persist into Tuesday, with a gradual cooling trend noted in ensemble averages through the middle of next week. The next storm system that bears watching is the trough arriving toward late Wednesday or Thursday. So far, the majority of solutions is for an open trough with mainly light precipitation in the form of rain or snow, but there are a few deeper/stronger runs that would arrive later Thursday with potential for the first accumulating snow across the I-25 Corridor and plains. The models have certainly been quite unsteady lately wrestling with the pattern change and the longwave trough entering the western United States. Whatever the case, cooler and somewhat unsettled weather lies ahead, and could quite possibly last through Thanksgiving. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday/... Issued at 1024 PM MST Thu Nov 13 2025 VFR through the TAF period. Drainage winds should turn light and variable during the day Friday, with a gradual increase in mid and high cloud cover. Drainage winds are expected again Friday night. && .BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...20 AVIATION...Hiris